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Geopolitical Data Analysis

Blue Nile - Sudan/ Ethiopia/ Eritrea/ Somalia

  • Writer: Bon Habler
    Bon Habler
  • Nov 4, 2025
  • 5 min read

Battle by RSF


Sudan RSF has been fighting against the globalists steadily. as far as I know, ICC accuses the real resistance forced who fight against war criminals of WWII faction. So, I consider people who received arrest warrant from ICC as the "real fighters" who can liberate the world. RSF in Sudan in one of such groups which received arrest warrant from ICC. Others are Putin (Russia), Netanyahu (Israel), Sinwar (Islam Hamas of Palestine), Rwanda, etc.


In this article, I deal with refugees related to Sudan and its neighbors.


Refugee Trend in Sudan


Sudan's refugee acceptance started in 1967 when 4400 refugees from Congo and 28600 refugees came to Sudan. Since then, Ethiopia has been the major origin of refugees in Sudan until 1990.



Ethiopian orthodox Christian emperor established OAU (the fake African independence movement triggered by Kennedy's Bureau of African Affairs) in 1963. Since then, Ethiopian refugees gradually moved to Sudan. However, the major flow of Ethiopian refugees to Sudan started due to the abolishment of Monarchy in Ethiopia in 1974.


Since 1970s to 1990, Sudan accepted UNHCR refugees (mostly monarchists and Christians), so, assumingly, Sudan was governed by a relatively pro-British colony regime, at least partly. However, Sudan also has a strong influence from the 1952 Egypt Army coup. Maybe, this Egyptian influence is the origin of the recent RSF.


The next graph is about refugees FROM Sudan. The refugees who came to Sudan in 1970s went back to their countries such as Ethiopia and Uganda because their own countries became pro-monarchist regime. In addition, many refugees moved to Chad, but they are not only the Chad origin returned refugees. A certain part of Sudanese people (especially from Darfur) exiled to Chad due to the War in Darfur in 2004 (led by Omar al-Basir). However, Sudan experienced a coup in 2019 by Ahmed Auf and Sudanese Army, and it caused the fall of al-Basir. Since 2023, mass refugees exiled to Chad due to the civil war in Sudan (2023-) which is a war between RSF and Sudan government. Assumingly, this anti-refugee forces of al-Basir are linked to RSF. In fact, al-Basir also received arrest warrant by ICC. Al-Basi has been also an ally of Hussein Iraq (Ba'ath party).


Refugees in / from Ethiopia


These charts are about refugees in/ from Ethiopia. It shows that Ethiopia became a safe country for UNHCR refugees (monarchists/ anti-communists/ Christians/ Gulag fugitives etc.) since the middle of 1980s. So, the refugees came back from Sudan and Somali refugees arrived to Ethiopia to avoid the Somali civil war. Since 2010, Ethiopia has been a major refugee hub in East Africa (from South Sudan, Somalia, Sudan, Eritrea, etc.)


*South Sudan is a Christian country which was established to fight against the Islam Sudan in 2011. Sudanese Christians exiled to South Sudan a lot. But they also moved to Ethiopia, perhaps due to the severe war in South Sudan.


As for the refugees "from" Ethiopia, it show that the Ethiopian emperor faction mostly exiled to Somalia and Sudan. But they went back to Ethiopia until 1990.


UNMISS and UNISFA


Due to the war between Sudan (Islam side or pro-Hussein faction) and South Sudan (Christian), there are two UN peacekeeping missions, UNMISS and UNISFA.


UNMISS was established in July, 2011 and UNSFA was established in June, 2011. The current head of UNMISS, Nicholas Haysom was graduated from Natal University (Natal is the pro-British province of South Africa which voted against the independence of South Africa. Natal is also the place where most Gandhi family live in). He also worked with Nelson Mandela (Gandhi faction. He also worked in UNAMA (UN peacekeeping mission in Afghanistan). So, it is likely that Haysom is an ally of the British colonists in India/ South Africa.


The soldiers of UNIFSA mostly came from Ethiopia (maybe the UNHCR Ethiopian refugees who stayed in Sudan in the past, namely Ethiopian emperor faction).


Therefore, UN peacekeeping forces in South Sudan/ Sudan are likely to be a part of Christian reconquista and fight against Islam Sudan, as usual.


Conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea


Not only Sudan, but Eritrea also had a conflict with Ethiopia. Eritrea had been a part of Ethiopia after the WWII. When Ethiopia was under the pro-British or orthodox Christian emperor, ELF (Eritrean Liberation Front) fought against Ethiopian monarchist to gain independence from Eritrea. However, the Ethiopian emperor was ousted from Ethiopia in 1974. Then, another organization EPLF (Eritrean People/s Liberation Front) started another type of independence war against the Derg (communist) Ethiopia.


ELF is a Muslim majority organization while EPLF is a Christian majority group. And they themselves fought each other. In 1970s, many communist organizations in the world experienced a similar confusion. At that time, communist (Stalin) and federalist (Lenin) were mixed up although Leninists were the Gulag fugitives (war criminals). The unification of Korea (unification church) kind of movement became popular in 1970s, and it aimed to unite post-war liberals and war criminals without border or jails.


After the communist regime in Ethiopia was fallen in 1991, EPLF (Christian group) seized the politics of Eritrea.


UN peacekeeping mission about Ethiopia/ Eritrea war is called UNMEE. It started in 2000 but ended in 2008. The last commander of UNMEE came from Jordan, who also work in Yugoslavia as a part of peacekeeping force. Before him, it was an Indian Sikh commander (Rajender Singh). Singh also fought against Pakistan in Kashmir.


Major-General Mohammad Taisir Masedeh (Jordan) April 2006 – July 2008 Major-General Rajender Singh (India) July 2004 – March 2006 Major-General Robert Gordon (United Kingdom) November 2002 – June 2004 Brigadier General P.C. Cammaert (Netherlands) November 2000 – October 2002 source: https://peacekeeping.un.org/sites/default/files/past/unmee/facts.html

The refugees from Eritrea to Ethiopia is increasing since around 2008. Perhaps, anti-monarchist regime regained the power in Eritrea since 2008. In fact, UN sanctioned the Eritrean leader in 2009 due to his involvement of the border war with Djibouti (CENTCOM country) and his investment on the Islamic extremists in Somalia. So, assumingly, Eritrea fought against UN peacekeeping and ousted it in 2008.


Conclusion


Anti-OAU (Kennedy and Ethiopian emperor led fake African independence movement) faction is spread to the neighbor countries of Ethiopia such as Sudan, Eritrea, Somalia etc. They are also ally of 1952 Egyptian army regime, Hussein Iraq Ba'ath party etc. Ethiopian emperor faction may have contributed to establish South Sudan (Christian Sudan). However, pro-Islam faction is relatively expanding in Congo (DRC) and Rwanda. Refugees from such countries exiled to Uganda (another source of Nile = White Nile). So, the ultimate battle in the East Africa (against Kennedy faction) could be within Ethiopia, South Sudan, Uganda, Djibouti and Tanzania.


I will analyze about white Nile area in the near future.


Alliance in East Africa and Location of Each Countries
Alliance in East Africa and Location of Each Countries

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